Gold and Oil Markets Between Fed Warnings

Gold and Oil Markets Between Fed Warnings and Rising Geopolitical Tensions

Amid ongoing economic and political developments, gold and oil markets are experiencing notable fluctuations,
swinging between the pressure of U.S. monetary policies and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

 

Contents

 

 

 

 

The Federal Reserve

Fed Warnings Push Gold Slightly Higher
 Gold prices saw a slight increase during early Asian trading, with bullion trading near $3,380 per ounce,
after a 0.6% decline in the previous session.
This volatility followed comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell,
who warned that inflation risks continue to threaten the U.S. economy.

Despite the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged and policymakers maintaining their projection of two rate cuts before year-end,
the new economic forecasts painted a rather pessimistic picture,
with expectations of slower growth, higher inflation, and weaker employment.
These factors could negatively impact gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, potentially limiting its future gains.

 

Gold

Geopolitical Tensions Continue to Drive Gold Demand
 On the other hand, gold continues to enjoy strong support due to escalating geopolitical tensions,
especially in the Middle East. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that Iran missed the chance to reach a nuclear deal,
without clarifying whether Washington would join Israel’s military actions.

This heightened tension, coupled with global economic uncertainty,
has increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Heavy buying by central banks and investor inflows into exchange-traded funds have driven gold prices up
by nearly 30% since the beginning of the year. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,378.59 per ounce early Thursday morning in Singapore.

 

Oil

Oil Prices Fall Amid Anticipation of U.S. Decision on Iran
 Conversely, oil prices fell after a week of volatile trading, as markets focused on whether President Trump would
involve the U.S. in the military conflict between Israel and Iran.
Brent crude declined toward $76 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate traded around $75.

Fueling the volatility were shifts in trading options and widening price spreads,
as Trump held a meeting with top advisers to discuss the situation without announcing a final decision.
When asked about the possibility of striking Iran,
he stated, “Maybe I will, maybe I won’t,” heightening market anticipation and anxiety.

 

Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz: The Key Concern for Energy Markets
 The Strait of Hormuz remains the primary chokepoint in global oil markets, with about one-fifth of global oil production passing through it.
Although there are currently no indications that Iran intends to disrupt shipping in this vital corridor,
markets remain on edge, especially in light of U.S. warnings about potential developments.

A report by Goldman Sachs estimated a geopolitical risk premium of around $10 per barrel added to Brent prices.
However, the bank’s base-case scenario assumes oil prices will return to $60 per barrel in Q4—assuming no real supply disruption.

Meanwhile, U.S. crude inventories saw a sharp drop of 11.5 million barrels last week—the largest drawdown in nearly a year—reflecting significant shifts in supply and demand dynamics.

 

Conclusion

Current indicators suggest that global markets—particularly gold and oil—will remain heavily influenced by developments in U.S. monetary policy and the unfolding geopolitical landscape.
Investors continue to monitor every shift closely,
awaiting any changes that may reshape the global economic outlook in the months ahead.

 

 

 

Gold and Oil Markets Between Fed Warnings and Rising Geopolitical Tensions

Global Economic Developments – High Inflation and Geopolitical Tensions

Global Economic Developments – High Inflation and Geopolitical Tensions:
Today’s data indicates continued inflationary pressure in the UK, with the steady rate at 3.4%,
Meanwhile, Japan recorded a growing trade deficit despite better-than-expected exports.
At the same time, oil shipping costs from the Middle East to Asia
have surged to record levels amid escalating geopolitical tensions,
raising concerns about the stability of global supply chains.

 

Contents
UK Inflation Holds Steady

Japan’s Trade Deficit Widens

Soaring Oil Shipping Costs

 

 

 

 

UK Inflation Holds at 3.4%, Keeping Pressure High Before Rate Decision.

Official data released on Wednesday showed that the annual inflation rate in the UK held steady at 3.4% in May,
remaining at its highest in over a year. This suggests continued price pressures despite a slowdown in some core indicators.

The figure was slightly above analysts’ expectations of 3.3%,
But aligned with the Bank of England’s projections.
British authorities recently revised April’s inflation from 3.5% to 3.4% due to a vehicle tax error.

Service sector inflation—an important gauge of domestic pressures
slowed to 4.7% from 5.4% in April. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, also fell to 3.5% from 3.8%.

These figures come a day before the Bank of England meeting,
where rates are expected to be kept unchanged. However, markets anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut starting in August.

 

Japan’s Trade Deficit Widens Despite Softer Export Drop

According to government data on Wednesday, Japan posted a trade deficit of ¥637.6 billion ($4.39 billion) in May.
While better than the expected ¥893 billion deficit, it marks a sharp deterioration from April’s ¥115.8 billion.

Exports fell 1.7% year-on-year, beating forecasts of a 3.8% drop, but down from a 2% rise in April.
The decline is partly due to high U.S. tariffs on key Japanese goods like cars and steel,
which have increased export costs, especially to the U.S., a significant market.

Imports dropped 7.7%, exceeding expectations of a 6.7% fall and deepening from April’s 2.2% decline.
This sharp fall reflects weakening domestic demand, raising concerns about Japan’s consumer-driven economic growth.

Tokyo is currently negotiating a new trade deal with Washington to ease tariff impacts,

but progress remains slow, especially as Japan insists on full tariff exemptions.

 

 

 

 

Record Surge in Oil Shipping Costs from the Middle East to Asia Amid Rising Tensions

Oil shipping rates from the Middle East to Asia surged by nearly
60% in under a week due to mounting geopolitical tensions,
creating uncertainty in global maritime transport.

The rise followed the suspension of new bookings by shipping companies and tanker owners
as they reassessed the risk environment amid increasing tensions between Israel and Iran.

Chartering a supertanker to China now costs around $46,000 per day—up by over $12,000 from the previous session.
This is the most significant daily jump since February, highlighting the volatility in this key energy route.

Shipping futures also rose sharply, suggesting continued pressure in the sector. Concerns are centered
on the Strait of Hormuz—a crucial chokepoint through
which much of the Gulf’s crude oil exports flow toward Asian markets.

Analysts warn that any military escalation or disruption in the strait could severely affect supply chains,
driving up freight and insurance costs and increasing the risk to tanker safety.

 

Global Economic Developments – High Inflation and Geopolitical Tensions

U.S. Senate Passes Legislation Regulating Stablecoins

U.S. Senate Passes Legislation Regulating Stablecoins in a Win for Trump and the Crypto Industry

The U.S. Senate has passed new legislation regulating dollar-pegged stablecoins in a historic move seen
as a clear victory for the growing digital currency industry and former President Donald Trump.
The bill was approved by 68 votes to 30 in a rare moment of bipartisan agreement in a deeply divided Senate.

 

Topic

Details

 

 

 

 

Details

The new legislation requires stablecoin issuers to hold reserves fully equivalent to the value of the issued coins,
in the form of short-term government debt or similar financial instruments.
These assets must be overseen by federal or local regulatory authorities.
Supporters of the bill hope it will help turn stablecoins into a mainstream payment method,
especially since several retailers have backed the initiative as a faster and cheaper alternative to credit cards or bank checks.

 

Although the bill represents a significant leap forward, it has also stirred considerable controversy—particularly among small banks.
They have warned that the regulated introduction of stablecoins could drain deposits from their institutions and reduce their ability to offer credit,
while large banks are exploring the issuance of their own stablecoins to profit from interest on reserve assets.

 

Meanwhile

the House of Representatives continues working on its own version of a broader digital assets market regulation bill.
Lawmakers will need to decide whether to pass the Senate bill as is or negotiate a final compromise version.
Efforts to amend the Senate bill failed, especially proposals aimed at limiting Trump’s personal gains from the crypto market,
strengthening consumer protections, or addressing potential government bailouts of stablecoin issuers.

This legislation is seen as the culmination of years of lobbying by the crypto industry,
which has poured hundreds of millions of dollars into supporting the election of crypto-friendly lawmakers.
It is considered the first real legislative victory for the sector in the United States.

 

On the other hand

a group of Democrats led by Senator Elizabeth Warren opposed the bill,
arguing it fails to provide sufficient consumer protections in the event of a stablecoin issuer’s collapse
—potentially triggering demands for uncertain government bailouts.
The group also criticized the bill for not preventing Trump’s financial gain from digital assets, which they viewed as an ethical and political concern.

 

If passed by the House, this bill would mark a radical shift in the landscape of digital currency regulation in the U.S. and could spark a new wave of global adoption of stablecoins within the financial system.

 

 

U.S. Senate Passes Legislation Regulating Stablecoins

 

US Stocks Prices: A Gateway to Smart Investment Opportunities

US Stocks Prices: A Gateway to Smart Investment Opportunities

U.S. stock prices experience constant fluctuations that reflect the state of the global economy
and offer promising opportunities for investors seeking returns and growth.

 

Contents

 

 

 

 

 

US Stocks

1. What Drives U.S. Stock Prices?

U.S. stock prices are influenced by several dynamic and constantly changing factors, most notably:

  • Corporate earnings: When companies announce earnings that exceed expectations, stock prices typically rise; weak results usually lead to declines.
  • Federal Reserve monetary policy: Raising or lowering interest rates affects borrowing costs, and thus investors’ risk appetite.
  • Economic data: Indicators like unemployment, inflation, and GDP growth have a strong impact on market direction.
  • Geopolitical events: Crises such as wars, pandemics, or banking instability cause sudden market shifts.
  • Supply and demand: Movements by major investors like hedge funds can quickly change market trends.

 

2. How Can You Benefit from Market Volatility?

Although market movements may appear risky, they provide major opportunities for investors:

  • Long-term investing: Involves buying strong companies during price dips and holding for future gains.
  • Short-term trading: Allows investors to profit from fast price fluctuations.
  • Portfolio diversification: Investing in sectors like tech, energy, and healthcare reduces overall risk.
  • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): An excellent option for gaining exposure to a market or sector without buying individual stocks.

 

The US Market

A Fertile Ground for Growth

The U.S. stock market is one of the largest and most liquid in the world,
home to global giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon.
This massive scale and liquidity offer an ideal environment for investors to diversify and achieve sustainable growth.
With increased global access and the rise of digital trading platforms,
investing in U.S. markets has never been easier—enhancing its appeal as a global capital hub.

 

Tech Stocks: The Gateway to the Future

In recent years, the technology sector has proven to be the primary engine of U.S. market growth.
With the rise of areas like artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and fintech,
tech companies have achieved extraordinary growth rates.
A savvy investor who tracks this sector can seize promising stocks early,
significantly multiplying potential profits over the medium and long term.

 

Price Volatility: Threat or Opportunity?

While price volatility may worry new investors, experts understand it as a golden chance to buy during dips and profit during rebounds.
A deep understanding of market movements, combined with fundamental and technical analysis tools,
can turn volatility into a source of stability and profitability,
rather than fear. In investing, fear isn’t rewarded—preparation is.

 

Conclusion

Where to Start?

By choosing the right sectors, having a clear investment strategy, and using modern tools such as ETFs or monthly investing plans,
any investor—beginner or professional—can benefit from the U.S. market and turn volatility into real wealth-building opportunities.

 

 

US Stocks Prices: A Gateway to Smart Investment Opportunities

Hot Strategic Files: Possible TikTok Deadline Extension

Hot Strategic Files: Possible TikTok Deadline Extension, European Economic Optimism, and a Major Pentagon-OpenAI Deal

Three prominent developments are dominating the global stage:
Trump’s hint at extending the TikTok sale deadline, a strong rebound in German investor confidence,
and a major U.S. defense contract with OpenAI for artificial intelligence technologies.

 

 

Contents

 

 

 

 

Trump

Hints at Another Extension for TikTok Sale Deadline Ahead of Possible Ban
 Former U.S. President Donald Trump said it is likely that Chinese company ByteDance will be granted
an additional extension to sell the American assets of the TikTok app,
as the current deadline of June 19 approaches without a finalized deal, according to Reuters.
 TikTok faces the threat of a complete ban in the United States under a law passed during President Joe Biden’s administration,
which requires the parent company to sell the app or cease its operations in the country.
 Trump had previously extended the deadline twice, with the last extension set to expire in April.
He then issued another executive order allowing for a further extension until the upcoming Thursday.
 Legal and political uncertainty remains over how long this delay can continue
before ByteDance must make a final decision on selling TikTok or exiting the U.S. market.

 

 

Germany

Strong Rebound in Investor Confidence Amid Hopes of Ending the Recession
 Investor confidence in the eurozone’s largest economy surged sharply in June, reaching its highest level since March at 47.5 points,
according to a survey by the ZEW Institute.
This exceeded expectations of 35 points and significantly improved from May’s reading of 25.2 points.
 The improvement reflects market optimism about new financial measures announced by the German government,
expected to support the economy alongside recent interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank.
 Dr. Achim Wambach, President of the ZEW Institute, said: “The results support expectations that expansion in fiscal policy,
along with accommodative monetary policy, may help end the recession Germany has been experiencing for the past three years.”
 The report also highlighted a similar rise in market experts’ confidence regarding the eurozone’s overall economy,
with the index rising to 35.3 points compared to 11.6 points the previous month.

 

 

Pentagon

Grants OpenAI a $200 Million Contract to Develop AI Technologies for National Security
 The U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) announced on Tuesday the signing of a $200 million cooperative contract with OpenAI,
aimed at developing advanced artificial intelligence technologies to support national security missions.
 According to the official statement, the company will design AI prototypes to help tackle critical national challenges in areas such as
military operations and government agency management.
Most of the project’s activities will take place in the Washington, D.C. area, with completion expected by July 2026.
 This development follows OpenAI’s announcement of a strategic partnership with Anduril Industries,
focused on creating AI applications for defense tasks—signaling the company’s expanding role in advanced security technologies.

 

 

 

Hot Strategic Files: Possible TikTok Deadline Extension

Global Markets: Investor Caution Amid Calm Before Volatility

Global Markets: Investor Caution Amid Calm Before Volatility: Global markets are witnessing a state of cautious anticipation,
With notable fluctuations in equities, oil, and precious metals amid the military escalation between Israel and Iran,
accompanied by political developments, including conflicting statements
from U.S. President Donald Trump and indirect Iranian diplomatic efforts to de-escalate and resume nuclear talks.

 

Contents
Equity Markets Recover

Trump and Iran

Regional Conflict

Oil and Gold

Escalating Tensions

The Federal Reserve

 

 

 

 

Equity Markets Recover Despite Geopolitical Risks

U.S. equity indices rebounded significantly after sharp declines,
With the S&P 500 rising around 1% and climbing above the 6,000-point mark,
benefiting from reduced fears of conflict expansion.
Asian markets were relatively stable,
With gains in Japanese and South Korean stocks and declines in Hong Kong and Chinese shares.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar remained steady against most G10 currencies.
At the same time, long-term Treasury bonds continued to underperform,
despite a successful auction of 20-year bonds worth $13 billion with an expected yield,
an improvement over last month’s disappointing auction that had triggered a widespread sell-off.

 

Trump and Iran: Mixed Messages and Diplomatic Hopes

President Donald Trump sparked controversy by calling for the evacuation
of Tehran during his participation in the G7 summit in Alberta,
while simultaneously stating that Iran is seeking negotiations.
The White House announced Trump would cut his trip short to return to Washington.

According to a Wall Street Journal report citing unnamed Middle Eastern and European officials,
Tehran has hinted at readiness to resume nuclear talks with the U.S.
Provided that Washington does not participate in Israeli strikes.
Reuters reported similar messages transmitted via Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman.

 

Regional Conflict Threatens Economic Momentum

Despite the relative return of optimism, the military escalation has cast a shadow over financial markets,
hindering the positive momentum of the S&P 500 and causing investor caution.

Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report noted:

“Markets remain focused on geopolitical developments,
but unless the conflict spreads, the impact on equities will remain limited.”

Chris Larkin of E*TRADE, a Morgan Stanley subsidiary,
Added: “Tariffs aren’t the only potential source of volatility.
The market expects the Middle East to remain contained, but any surprise could significantly shift sentiment.”

 

 

 

 

Oil and Gold: Rising Amid Uncertainty

WTI crude fell below $70 per barrel on Monday evening before rebounding to around $73 by Tuesday.
Gold rose due to safe-haven demand following Trump’s remarks.

Morgan Stanley economists, led by Chetan Ahya,  attributed rising prices to supply concerns.
However, they noted that the impact on Asian economies may be limited due to decreased dependence on oil.

They warned: “If oil surpasses $85 per barrel and the dollar continues to strengthen, it could delay interest rate cuts.”

 

Escalating Tensions and No Signs of De-escalation

No clear signs of de-escalation have emerged.
Iran reportedly launched several drone and missile attacks in the last 24 hours,
while Israel retaliated by targeting senior Iranian military leaders,
striking the state TV complex during a live broadcast, and hitting the South Pars gas field.

Yet, key oil export infrastructure remains intact, and the Strait of Hormuz,
through which nearly one-fifth of global daily oil supply passes, has not been closed.

According to Mehr News Agency, Tehran is preparing a significant strike against Israel.
Meanwhile, Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer told Bloomberg:
“We will proceed with our mission to eliminate the nuclear and missile threats.”
adding that Iran’s willingness to negotiate does not change Israel’s position.

 

Federal Reserve in the Spotlight

Investors continue to monitor central bank decisions amid complex geopolitical and economic pressures.
In Japan, Trump’s meeting with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba failed to yield a trade agreement,
raising fears of a potential economic recession.
Conversely, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer secured a trade deal with Trump,
cutting U.S. tariffs on key British exports and increasing quotas on U.S. agricultural products.

In the U.S., all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday meeting.
Markets expect no change in interest rates, with attention focused on remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

David Doyle of Macquarie said: “Powell might call recent inflation data encouraging,
but he will likely caution against overinterpreting it due to ongoing uncertainties from tariffs, fiscal policy, and rising oil prices.”

He concluded: “Ultimately, monetary policy risks for 2025 may skew toward a more hawkish stance.”

 

Global Markets: Investor Caution Amid Calm Before Volatility

Energy Markets Under the Spotlight: Oil Falls, Gold Rises

Energy Markets Under the Spotlight: Oil Falls, Gold Rises Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions

As tensions between Iran and Israel escalate, energy and precious metals markets are reacting sharply—oil prices have dropped despite geopolitical fears,
while gold has surged on rising demand for safe-haven assets.

 

Contents

 

 

 

 

 

Oil

Drops Despite Turmoil… Markets Bet on Stable Supply

Oil prices fell notably even as tensions intensified in the Middle East, with indications that supplies have not been significantly affected so far.
Brent crude dropped by 1.3% to settle at $73.23 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined by 1.7% to fall below $72.
This decline is partly attributed to statements by former U.S. President Donald Trump,
suggesting Iran is open to dialogue—easing fears of a prolonged war that could threaten one-third of global crude production.

Despite Israeli attacks on Iranian energy facilities, including the South Pars gas field,
critical oil export infrastructure has remained intact so far.
Additionally, the vital Strait of Hormuz—through which about one-fifth of global daily oil supplies pass—has not been closed. Nevertheless,
risks surrounding oil shipping have surged, with transport costs from the Middle East to Asia jumping by over 20% amid navigation signal disruptions and growing hesitation from shipowners to enter the region.

 

Gold 

Shines Again Amid Evacuation Calls and Surge in Safe-Haven Demand

On the other hand, gold prices rose in Asian trading following Trump’s call for the immediate evacuation of the Iranian capital,
Tehran—pushing investors toward safe-haven assets.
The precious metal climbed 0.4% to surpass $3,400 per ounce, approaching record highs last seen in April.
This increase comes as part of a six-month winning streak, the longest in over two decades.

Gold’s current appeal is driven not only by geopolitical tensions but also by concerns over U.S. economic policies related to trade and tariffs.
With the U.S. dollar index holding steady and silver prices also rising,
investors appear to be hedging against uncertainty surrounding the Israel-Iran conflict,
particularly as the risk of regional spillover and supply chain disruptions looms.

 

 

 

Energy Markets Under the Spotlight: Oil Falls, Gold Rises

China’s Industrial Slowdown and Nissan’s Strategic Shift in Renault

China’s Industrial Slowdown and Nissan’s Strategic Shift in Renault:
The global economic scene witnessed significant developments this week.
China’s industrial production slowed down despite a rebound in retail sales,
reflecting a divergence in economic performance indicators.
Meanwhile, Nissan announced plans to reduce its stake in Renault as part of a strategic restructuring,
amid significant leadership changes to address the accelerating challenges in the automotive sector.

 

Content

China’s Industrial Production

Nissan

 

China’s Industrial Slowdown Despite a Surge in Retail Sales in May

Official data released Monday morning by the National Bureau of Statistics
in China showed a slowdown in industrial production growth during May,
hitting its weakest level in five months amid mixed signals about the Chinese economy’s performance.

According to the statistics, industrial production grew by 5.8% year-on-year,
falling short of market expectations of 5.9% growth and below April’s reading of 6.1%.
This slowdown reflects ongoing challenges for the industrial sector in light of weak global demand and slowing domestic investment.

In contrast, retail sales posted a surprisingly strong performance,
surging by 6.4% year-on-year—the fastest pace of growth in 15 months.
This exceeded forecasts of 4.9% growth and April’s 5.1% reading.
This performance reflects improved consumer spending, possibly due to local stimulus measures or improved market confidence.

As for the labor market, the report showed a drop in China’s unemployment rate to 5.0% in May,
beating estimates of 5.1% and improving slightly from April’s figure,
Also, 5.1%—signaling a modest improvement in employment indicators.

 

 

 

 

 

Nissan Plans to Reduce Its Stake in Renault Amid Strategic and Leadership Changes

Japanese automaker Nissan Motor revealed its intention to reduce its stake in its French partner Renault
from 15% to 10%. This move coincides with the departure of Renault’s CEO, Luca de Meo,
who is stepping into a new role outside the automotive industry.

In statements to Nikkei, Nissan CEO Ivan Espinosa explained that selling 5% of its stake in Renault
would generate about 100 billion yen (approximately $640 million) based on the current share price.
He confirmed that Nissan plans to use the proceeds to fund the development of new vehicles,
as the company faces complex challenges and tough market conditions.

Despite the move, Nissan emphasized that the existing investment agreement with Renault remains unchanged.
The two companies had reached an agreement in March to restructure their relationship,
reducing the minimum required cross-shareholding to 10% instead of 15%.
The agreement also mandates prior coordination before any share sale, granting first-buying rights to the other party.

These developments come as both Nissan and Renault seek greater strategic
independence while maintaining a flexible technological and commercial partnership
that supports competitiveness in a global market undergoing rapid transformation toward electric vehicles and smart technologies.

 

 

China’s Industrial Slowdown and Nissan’s Strategic Shift in Renault

Temporary Truce in Markets as Stocks Rise

Temporary Truce in Markets as Stocks Rise Amid Interest Rate Watch and Geopolitical Tensions
European stocks opened the week with a slight increase—marking the first gain in six sessions—as markets
closely monitor developments in the U.S.-led trade war alongside escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

 

Contents
Indices

Cryptocurrencies

Metals

 

 

 

Indices

During Monday’s session, the Stoxx Europe 600 index rose by 0.1% to reach 545 points, supported by gains in select sectors despite downward pressure from declines in utilities, automotive, and tech stocks. Germany’s DAX index held steady at 23,518 points, while the UK’s FTSE 100 added 0.2% to reach 8,867 points, and France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.3% to close at 7,709 points.

Among the most notable market moves, shares of French fashion group Kering surged 7% following news that Luca de Meo would become CEO after resigning from Renault, whose stock dropped 7.2% in a negative reaction to his departure.

Markets are now awaiting the release of Germany and Eurozone’s ZEW Investor Sentiment Survey, followed by the UK inflation report and the Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday, where rates are expected to remain unchanged at 4.25%.

 

Cryptocurrencies

On the digital asset front, cryptocurrency prices rose on Monday as investors turned to portfolio diversification amid escalating geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin gained 1.33%, reaching $106,736

Ethereum rose 2.95% to $2,615

Ripple (XRP) climbed 1.77% to $2.1856

The Trump Coin increased 2.02% to $10.10

Dogecoin jumped 3.13% to $0.1776

These moves come ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, where rates are widely expected to remain steady. This occurs amid pressure from former President Donald Trump to cut rates, following a financial disclosure revealing over $600 million in earnings from crypto, golf clubs, and other ventures during 2024.

Metals

In the metals market, gold futures declined at the start of the week as investors engaged in profit-taking after recent gains driven by regional tensions.

August gold futures fell 0.35% to $3,439.9/oz

Spot gold dropped 0.3% to $3,421.48/oz

Meanwhile, silver, palladium, and platinum saw slight increases.
The U.S. Dollar Index edged down 0.1% to 98.1, boosting movement in some industrial metals.

This week, attention is focused on policy decisions from several major central banks—including Japan,
the UK, Switzerland, Sweden, and Norway—as expectations rise for policy stability amid an increasingly uncertain global economic environment.

 

 

 

 

 

A Week Full of Economic Data and Decisions

A Week Full of Economic Data and Decisions: Markets brace for a week full of economic data and decisions.
Packed with key events from central bank policies and inflation reports to employment data.
Geopolitical tensions continue to fuel oil and gold rallies,
while currencies and indices react with heightened volatility.

 

Content

Economic events

OIL

Gold

EURUSD

DOW JONES

GBPJPY

 

 

 

 

Economic events

This week has impactful releases, shaping a pivotal week for global markets.
Key highlights include:

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

15:30 – USA – Core Retail Sales (MoM)

15:30 – USA – Retail Sales (MoM)

Wednesday, June 18, 2025

09:00 – UK – Consumer Price Index (YoY)

15:30 – USA – Weekly Jobless Claims

18:15 – Canada – Bank of Canada Governor Speech

21:00 – USA – Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision

21:30 – USA – Federal Reserve Press Conference

Thursday, June 19, 2025

01:45 – New Zealand – GDP (Quarterly)

04:30 – Australia – Employment Change

04:30 – Australia – Unemployment Rate

10:30 – Switzerland – SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

10:30 – Switzerland – SNB Interest Rate Decision

14:00 – UK – Bank of England Interest Rate Decision

Friday, June 20, 2025

09:00 – UK – Retail Sales (MoM)

09:40 – Japan – Bank of Japan Governor Speech

 

Oil

Oil prices saw substantial gains over the past week as geopolitical tensions escalated
and concerns rose over potential disruptions to Iranian oil supplies.
Prices surged noticeably, closing above the resistance level of $72,
If tensions persist, this reinforces expectations for a continued upward move toward $80.

 

Gold

Gold benefited from its status as a safe-haven asset,
rising amid increased volatility and geopolitical uncertainty.
It closed at $2,433, continuing the correction of the recent bearish wave.
Current price action indicates the potential for further gains toward the historical high at $3,500,
as long as trading remains above the $3,400 resistance level.

 

 

 

 

EURUSD

Despite some gains by the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies last week,
It weakened again against the euro.
The pair is currently trading near the critical resistance level of 1.1550.
A daily close above this level could push the pair further toward 1.1700.
However, if reversal signals appear at the current zone, a downward correction toward 1.1300 may be seen.

 

Dow Jones

U.S. stock markets saw sharp declines at the end of last week,

Driven by escalating political tensions.
The Dow Jones index lost more than 700 points.
It closed again below the resistance level at 42,800,
supporting the continuation of the downward correction toward the next support at 41,335.

 

GBPJPY

After last week’s sideways movement, the GBPJPY pair trades around 195.53.
It faces strong resistance near 196.00. Expecting a recovery in the Japanese yen as a safe-haven,
the pair may head downward toward the next support at 191.99.
However, if the price breaks and holds above 196.00, the uptrend may continue toward 199.75.

 

 

A Week Full of Economic Data and Decisions