Rate Cuts Revitalize Japanese Indices and U.S. Stock Futures

Rate Cuts Revitalize Japanese Indices and U.S. Stock Futures: Japanese stocks rose alongside U.S. stock futures
after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, indicating further easing in the coming months.

 

Content

Jerome Powell

Rate Cuts

Oil Prices

 

 

Jerome Powell Downplays Impact of Rate Cuts on Presidential Race Between Trump and Harris

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the greater-than-expected rate cut on Wednesday
may have a limited impact on the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump,
as the effects of the decision will slowly extend to the economy.
In a press conference following the significant rate cut—the first in four years—
Powell responded to reporters’ questions about the timing of the long-awaited rate cut,
with just 48 days until the November 5 elections: “The things we do affect economic conditions mostly with a lag.”

 

Rate Cuts Revitalize Japanese Indices and U.S. Stock Futures

Japanese stocks rose alongside U.S. stock futures after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point,
indicating further easing in the coming months.
The Japanese “TOPIX” and “Nikkei 225” indices increased as the yen fell more than 1% against the dollar.
U.S. stock futures rose after the S&P 500 briefly touched a record high before closing down 0.3%.
Chinese and Australian stocks traded within a narrow range.

 

 

 

 

Oil Prices Rise Amid Improved Investor Sentiment and Rising Middle East Tensions

Oil prices increased due to a general improvement in financial markets following the Fed’s significant rate cut,
while traders monitored escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Brent crude futures rose to around $74 per barrel after closing nearly unchanged on Wednesday,
while West Texas Intermediate crude was above $71.
Stock prices in futures markets in Europe and Asia rose
after the Fed’s rate cut bolstered expectations that the U.S. economy would avoid a slowdown.
Investors are also closely watching developments in the Middle East
after Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant announced what he described
as a “new phase” in the war with Islamic groups in the region.
The announcement raised concerns about the potential for a broader conflict that could involve Iran,
a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

 

Rate Cuts Revitalize Japanese Indices and U.S. Stock Futures

U.S. Stocks Reach Record Levels Ignoring Trump’s Assassination Attempt

U.S. Stocks Reach Record Levels Ignoring Trump’s Assassination Attempt: U.S. stocks surged to all-time highs as market volatility expectations
failed after the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, which boosted his chances of reaching the White House.
Trump has chosen Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate for the presidential election
.


Contents

Jerome Powell’s Statements

A New Generation of Republicans

Major Stock Indices Rise

U.S. Bonds Rise

Analysts Reactions

Performance of Major Companies

Neil Dutta’s Comments

Greater Focus on Inflation Data

Electoral Impacts

Impact of the Assassination Attempt on Winning Chances

Republican National Convention

 

 

 

 

Jerome Powell’s Statements

Traders also closely monitored statements from Jerome Powell,
who noted that recent inflation readings had bolstered confidence and that the economy was performing “extremely well.”
He also pointed out that the labor market was heading towards better balance and that
the time lag between adopting monetary policy and its effects meant that the Fed could intervene before inflation reached 2%.
The Fed Chairman also clearly refused to signal any timing for interest rate cuts, stating that the policy was tight “but not overly so.”

 

A New Generation of Republicans

Vance, 39, is nearly four decades younger than the 78-year-old Trump.
He is a fresh voice contributing to the Republicans’ efforts and enhancing their appeal to the working class,
which previously formed a core base for the Democratic Party in battleground states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

 

Major Stock Indices Rise

All major stock indices rose, with the S&P 500 achieving its 38th record high this year.
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp’s stock jumped by 30%.
The candidate’s chances boosted the positions of oil producers, weapons manufacturers, and private prisons.
His support for cryptocurrencies raised the value of Bitcoin and companies in the industry.
Tesla’s stock soared as Elon Musk endorsed Trump.
Solar energy and marijuana company stocks fell as Democrats became more supportive of these sectors.

 

U.S. Bonds Rise

Yields on 30-year U.S. bonds rose above those of 2-year bonds for the first time since January,
betting that Trump would adopt an expansionary fiscal policy if he won the U.S. presidential election in November. The dollar rose slightly.

 

 

 

 

 

Analysts Reactions

John Stoltzfus from Oppenheimer Asset Management said,
“We were shocked by the assassination attempt on former President Trump,
but we believe the markets will absorb the news quickly and without much fuss.
Shocking events do not deter investors; we expect them to remain focused on economic outcomes and earnings reports.”

 

Performance of Major Companies

The S&P 500 index rose to around 5630 points. The performance of major companies varied.
Apple shares peaked after Morgan Stanley classified it as the top pick.

Nvidia shares declined. The Russell 2000 index of small companies rose by 2%.
Goldman Sachs shares rose as earnings exceeded plans to reduce the pace of share buybacks.
Macy’s Inc. shares fell after the company ended acquisition talks.

 

Neil Dutta’s Comments

Neil Dutta from Renaissance Macro Research said,
“The only reason for not cutting interest rates in July is the illogical mindset followed by institutions when they say:
‘Well, we need to prepare the markets for that.’ I don’t understand it, but that is the case.”

 

Greater Focus on Inflation Data

Mark McCormick at TD Securities believes the markets are “less concerned with the elections”
and more eager to enjoy the decline in U.S. data surprises, especially the recent Consumer Price Index reading.

 

Electoral Impacts

Peter Boockvar from The Boock Report said, “Everyone is trading on their best Trump-related strategies—
but I think we’ve seen over the past century that stock market movements are more random than a president can impose.”

 

Impact of the Assassination Attempt on Winning Chances

According to PredictIt data, the chances of the potential Republican candidate,
who was shot during a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, winning a second term has increased following the attack.

 

Republican National Convention

The Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, held from Monday to Thursday,
marked the culmination of Trump’s control over the party. According to a post on the social media site X,
the former U.S. president told Fox News that he would announce his vice-presidential pick today.

 

U.S. Stocks Reach Record Levels Ignoring Trump’s Assassination Attempt