Daily Economic Report – October 1_2025

Daily Economic Report – October 1_2025

Global markets this week have seen a series of notable economic and financial developments: Eurozone inflation data showed prices stabilizing near the European Central Bank’s target, Nvidia’s stock continued to hit record highs fueled by AI-driven investments, and U.S. data revealed a historic jump in oil production to unprecedented levels. Together, these indicators highlight the global economic landscape and its potential influence on monetary policy, financial markets, and energy.

 

Eurozone Inflation at 2.2% in September, Matching Expectations

Data from Eurostat, released on Wednesday, showed that the preliminary annual consumer price index (CPI) in the Eurozone stood at 2.2% in September, in line with market forecasts, compared to 2.0% in August.

At the same time, the preliminary core CPI—which excludes food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco—remained at 2.3% year-on-year in September, also matching both expectations and the August reading.

These figures confirm that inflation continues to ease at levels close to the ECB’s 2% target, potentially reducing pressure on policymakers when deciding the future path of interest rates.

 

Nvidia Stock Hits Fresh Record High on Expanding AI Investments

Nvidia’s stock surged to a new record during Tuesday’s trading, boosted by strategic deals that strengthened its position at the center of the AI revolution.

  • The Nasdaq-listed stock (NVDA) rose 2.43% to $186.27 by 9:29 p.m. KSA time, after touching an all-time high of $187.35 before paring some gains.
  • The company’s market capitalization climbed to $4.526 trillion, with the stock set to end the quarter with nearly 18% gains.
  • This performance followed Nvidia’s announcement last week of a $100 billion investment in OpenAI, along with plans to build massive data centers worth hundreds of billions of dollars powered by its GPUs for the developer of ChatGPT.

U.S. Energy Information Administration: Oil Production Surges Above 21 Million bpd

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released key updates Tuesday regarding oil production in July, revealing an unprecedented surge after revising weekly data.

  • Total U.S. liquid fuels production reached 21.218 million barrels per day, about 500,000 bpd higher than previous estimates.
  • Crude oil output stood at 13.642 million bpd, while natural gas liquids production was 7.577 million bpd, both above expectations.
  • The EIA also raised its estimate for product supplied—the measure of demand—to 20.984 million bpd, up 344,000 bpd from prior weekly figures.

This revision indicates that earlier weekly data had understated actual production and demand, meaning the gap between supply and demand in the U.S. market is narrower than previously thought, and that stockpile increases were not as substantial as earlier reported due to robust consumption.

 

Outlook

Overall, the global economic picture shows a relative balance, with easing inflation and stable monetary policy in Europe, booming technology led by Nvidia, and the U.S. reclaiming leadership in energy through record oil production. These developments are poised to leave a lasting impact on market trends in the final quarter of the year.