Tech stocks drive Wall Street to end the week on a high

Tech stocks drive Wall Street to end the week on a high:
Wall Street indices saw a notable rebound thanks to gains in major tech stocks,
following a wave of sell-offs triggered by disappointing forecasts from leading companies across various sectors.

 

Contents

S&P 500 rebounds

Economic fears weigh on U.S. stocks

Continued volatility on Wall Street

Systematic funds shift positions

Trade risks under Trump’s shadow

 

 

 

 

S&P 500 rebounds amid sharp volatility

Five minutes before the market closed, the S&P 500 recovered after falling by more than 1% earlier.
The market experienced sharp volatility as many options expired,
contributing to a surge in trading activity.
Tesla was among the biggest drivers of the rebound in large-cap stocks,
while Boeing shares surged after winning a contract to develop a next-generation U.S. fighter jet.
Meanwhile, disappointing forecasts from Nikkei, FedEx, Micron Technology,
and Lennar Corp weighed on the market.
Wall Street also faced added turbulence from the expiration of derivatives,
equities, indexes, and ETFs worth an estimated $4.5 trillion.

 

Economic fears weigh on U.S. stocks

The U.S. stock market lost trillions of dollars in market value
last month amid concerns over economic slowdown, rising tariffs,
and escalating geopolitical tensions.
Persistent anxiety over elevated tech stock valuations added to traders’ caution.
Despite the S&P 500 entering a 10% correction last week,
the market failed to sustain a rebound,
putting pressure on the traditionally respected “buy-the-dip” strategy.

 

Continued volatility on Wall Street

According to Michael Wilson of Morgan Stanley,
volatility is expected to persist into at least the second half of 2025,
with stocks remaining below their record highs from last month.

Wilson told Bloomberg TV this week: “We expect this recovery to continue,
but we don’t foresee record highs being reached in the first half of the year.”

By the close, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average showed little change,
while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.4%.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield rose by one basis point
to 4.25%, and the dollar climbed 0.3%.

 

Systematic funds shift positions

According to data from Goldman Sachs ‘ trading desk,
trend-following funds turned to short U.S. equities for the first time in over a year,
with commodity trading advisors (CTAs)
reducing their exposure to the S&P 500 to its lowest level since 2023.

Conversely, according to JPMorgan data,
retail investors poured over $12 billion into U.S. equities in the week ending March 19.

Analysts are closely watching retail investors,
as they are often the last to reduce their stock holdings
an indicator that markets may not have bottomed yet despite the latest buying spree.

 

 

 

 

Trade risks under Trump’s shadow

Michael Hartnett from Bank of America said investors
largely ignore the risks of a full-blown trade war,
even as substantial capital flows into global equity markets.

According to market data, despite growing concerns over tariffs,
Since Donald Trump’s election, investors have seen limited chances of a recession,
especially given the positive market performance in key exporting nations like Germany and China.

Analysts from 22V Research, led by Dennis DeBusschere, said:
“The VIX and credit spreads have returned to levels consistent
with a non-recessionary environment but one marked by heightened uncertainty,
supporting technical strength within the stock market.”
They added: “This aligns with our view that the U.S. economy is not on the verge of a fast-approaching recession.”

While the market is awaiting retaliatory tariffs, expected
on April 2, 22V’s Kim Wallace believes that current trade policy risks are less concerning than in December,
with final tariff figures likely to come lower than feared.

22V added: “Uncertainty will remain elevated as negotiations continue,
which is negative from a stability perspective but potentially positive, given
that tensions appear to be easing compared to recent months.”

 

Tech stocks drive Wall Street to end the week on a high

Nvidia Earnings Fuel Tech Stocks Amid Market Volatility

Nvidia Earnings Fuel Tech Stocks Amid Market Volatility: The global markets experienced weekly fluctuations
as economic and political developments impacted stocks and currencies.
Meanwhile, Nvidia’s earnings had a substantial impact on the technology sector.
While the company’s profits fueled gains for tech stocks on Wall Street,
some Asian markets declined due to concerns over U.S. tariffs and global economic developments.

 

Contents

Asian Markets

Trump’s Tariffs

Nvidia Earnings

U.S. Market Performance

Fund Managers’ Strategies

Bitcoin 

Key Economic Data Ahead

Conclusion

 

 

Asian Markets See Modest Gains Amid Global Market Uncertainty

Asian stocks posted slight gains on Thursday as investors assessed the impact of new tariffs imposed
by U.S. President Donald Trump and reacted to Nvidia’s earnings results.

Markets in Australia, Hong Kong, and Japan saw gains, while South Korea experienced a slight decline.
Meanwhile, Chinese markets fluctuated at the opening of trading.
U.S. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures stabilized after posting modest gains on Wednesday.
However, Nvidia shares slipped in after-hours trading as its strong financial
results failed to meet investors’ exceptionally high expectations.

 

Trump’s Tariffs Increase Market Volatility

On Wednesday, Trump announced that his administration would impose a 25%
tariff on the European Union while confirming that previously announced
tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect on April 2.
However, his contradictory statements created uncertainty among investors,
leading to sharp fluctuations in the currency markets.

The U.S. dollar strengthened, limiting losses for the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso
but adding pressure on stocks and cryptocurrencies.

Marvin Loh from State Street commented:
“Unclear statements about the timing and extent of tariffs keep investors on edge.
The debate continues over whether Trump will revise his plans or if this marks the start of stricter trade policies.”

 

Nvidia Earnings Boost Tech Sector on Wall Street

Tech stocks saw substantial gains on Wall Street following Nvidia’s
earnings announcement amid expectations that profits would revive the AI-driven rally.

 Nvidia reported $11 billion in revenue from its Blackwell series chips in Q4,
calling it “the fastest product launch in company history.”

Darren Nathan from Hargreaves Lansdown stated:
Nvidia successfully dispelled concerns about Blackwell chip production and potential demand threats,
delivering revenue and earnings that exceeded expectations, along with strong guidance for the current quarter.”

 

U.S. Market Performance Post-Nvidia Earnings

At the close of Wall Street trading, the S&P 500 remained unchanged,
while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.2%.
In contrast, the Dow Jones fell by 0.4%, reflecting mixed market sentiment.
Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield declined by four basis points to 4.25%,
signaling a shift in investor expectations.
The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.1%, highlighting its resilience amid market fluctuations.

 

Fund Managers Reassess Strategies

In recent years, the dominance of major technology companies has posed a challenge for fund managers.

As these companies’ stocks declined by more than 10% from their peaks,
new opportunities have begun to emerge for identifying future market leaders,
according to Lisa Shalett from Morgan Stanley.

Promising Sectors:

Financial services
Domestic industries and energy
Mining, media, and entertainment
AI-powered healthcare

Shalett explained that fund managers have reduced their allocations to major tech stocks
to their lowest levels since the global financial crisis,
contributing to improved fund performance,
especially with the decline of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks (Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla).

This shift has boosted the performance of active investors,
with 49% of actively managed mutual funds and exchange-traded funds
(ETFs) linked to the S&P 500 outperforming the index in 2025,
According to Morningstar Direct, this rate is significantly higher than the 17% average over the past decade.

 

 

 

 

Bitcoin Declines Amid ETF Outflows

 Bitcoin dropped to $84,000, marking a 20% decline from its peak last month,
as increased outflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) led to additional selling pressure.

 

Key Economic Data Ahead

Investors closely monitor key economic reports and meetings that could shape global market trends in the coming days.

Upcoming data and events include:

  • Eurozone Consumer Confidence Index
  • U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
  • Initial U.S. Jobless Claims

Additionally, G20 finance ministers and central bank governors are meeting in Cape Town,
expecting policy decisions that could shape financial markets in the coming period.

With ongoing market volatility, investors closely watch monetary
and trade policy shifts and their implications for the global economy.

 

Conclusion

Global markets experienced a volatile week, with Asian stocks reacting to new U.S. tariffs,
while Nvidia’s earnings supported the tech sector on Wall Street.
However, concerns remain about a potential global economic slowdown and changes in trade and monetary policies.

As markets anticipate upcoming G20 decisions and key economic developments,
investors remain in a wait-and-see mode for further indications on the future direction of global markets.

 

Nvidia Earnings Fuel Tech Stocks Amid Market Volatility

Wall Street Breathes a Sigh of Relief After Positive Inflation Data

Wall Street Breathes a Sigh of Relief After Positive Inflation Data:
Wall Street experienced a wave of optimism after inflation data came in better than expected,
leading to a significant rise in stocks and a drop in bond yields.
This development has bolstered hopes that the Federal Reserve remains on track to continue cutting interest rates this year.

 

Content

Performance of Indices

Inflation Data

Broad-Based Stock Gains

Interest Rate Cut Probabilities

 Market Volatility

 

 

 

 

Performance of Indices

Stock indices managed to erase their 2025 losses, with the S&P 500 rising by approximately 2%,
marking its biggest jump since the U.S. elections in November.
Treasury bonds also posted notable gains, pushing 10-year yields down by 15 basis points,
alleviating concerns about yields potentially reaching 5% soon.
According to trading fund data from Bloomberg,
this was the best market response to a Consumer Price Index (CPI) release since late 2023.

 

Inflation Data Reshapes Market Expectations

December’s data showed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index increased slower than expected,
reviving expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting rates sooner than anticipated.
Swap markets quickly moved to price in rate cuts by July fully.

This shift followed strong job data released the previous Friday,
which led some to believe that the Fed might delay any monetary easing until September or October.
Analysts also noted the possibility of rate hikes.

Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers commented,
“The market’s exaggerated anxiety led to a strong response to the recent inflation data.
Today’s gains reflect better-than-expected monthly core CPI numbers and highlight the tense sentiment dominating the markets.”

Tina Adatia from Goldman Sachs added that the latest CPI data may not be sufficient
to spark discussions about rate cuts in January.
Still, it strengthens the notion that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle isn’t over yet.

 

Broad-Based Stock Gains and Renewed Risk Appetite

U.S. stock indices saw widespread gains, with the S&P 500 climbing 1.8%,
followed by a 2.3% rise in the Nasdaq 100. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.7%.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg’s “Magnificent Seven” index
featuring Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla—surged by 3.7%.

In the small-cap sector, the Russell 2000 index gained 2%,
while the KBW Bank Index saw strong gains of 4.1%,
coinciding with the start of earnings season for major banks like Citigroup,
Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and JPMorgan Chase.

On another note, the VIX index, often called the market’s fear gauge,
fell to its lowest level this year, reflecting a decline in investor anxiety.
Heavily shorted stocks experienced strong recoveries,
with Goldman Sachs’ basket of underperforming tech stocks jumping 3.2%.
Meanwhile, stocks under significant short-selling pressure added 3.8% to their value.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin approached a record high of $100,000.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.64%, while Bloomberg’s spot dollar index dropped by 0.2%.
Oil prices remained elevated despite a ceasefire agreement
between Israel and Hamas, providing a temporary halt to the conflict in Gaza.

 

 

 

 

Interest Rate Cut Probabilities

Some analysts believe that the recent inflation data could trigger short-covering activity.
John Kirchner of Janus Henderson Investors noted
that markets are now more comfortable with the diminishing likelihood of interest rate hikes.

Meanwhile, Krishna Guha of Evercore stated that the CPI reading
underscores how the market has overreacted to inflation stories this year,
boosting the likelihood of two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with a possible third cut in March.

Rajiv Sharma of Key Wealth remarked that the data might not
be sufficient to prompt the Fed to accelerate rate cuts,
as the strength of the labor market remains a key factor in decision-making.

 

Expectations for More Market Volatility

Despite the relative calm following the inflation data release,
analysts warned of potential market volatility as further economic data is published.
Seema Shah of Principal Asset Management noted that current inflation data
doesn’t provide enough support for an immediate rate cut but could
pave the way for such a move if inflation readings continue to improve.

Solita Marcelli of UBS predicted that U.S. equities would remain attractive for long-term investors,
adding that easing inflation would support corporate earnings growth.

Mark Hackett of Nationwide emphasized the upcoming earnings season,
suggesting positive surprises could provide additional market support.

 

Wall Street Breathes a Sigh of Relief After Positive Inflation Data

Tech Stocks Drive Wall Street Indices

Tech Stocks Drive Wall Street Indices:
Wall Street indices received strong support at the start of the first full trading week of 2025,
thanks to the exceptional performance of leading global tech stocks.
On the other hand, the dollar reduced its losses after President-elect Donald Trump
announced that his tariff plans would not be scaled back.

While buying at lower prices boosted the gains of the most influential stocks in the S&P 500 index,
most of the benchmark’s stocks saw slight declines.

 

Content

Nvidia

Short-Term Tactical Rally

2025 Outlook

Indices and Stocks Performance

Other Market Changes

Volatile Market

Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts

Favorable Long-Term Outlook

 

 

 

 

NVIDIA Hits Record Levels

NVIDIA’s shares reached an all-time high ahead of CEO Jensen Huang’s anticipated speech.
Meanwhile, banking stocks rose due to optimism over potential regulatory easing
following Michael Barr’s resignation from his position as Vice Chair for Supervision at the Federal Reserve.

These developments impacted the bond market, as weaker long-term bond performance led to a yield curve inversion,
with the 30-year Treasury yield reaching its highest level since late 2023.

 

Short-Term Tactical Rally

Scott Rubner of Goldman Sachs highlighted signs of a short-term tactical rally in U.S. stocks,
driven by institutional money flows and the absence of selling from systematic funds following market trends.
Similarly, Andrew Tyler of J.P. Morgan Chase noted that while risks to this rally are increasing,
a sharp decline remains “highly unlikely” amid strong economic growth.

Mark Hackett of Nationwide emphasized that the recovery
observed on Friday and Monday reflects “the strength of buy-the-dip mentality.”
He added that investors continue to rely heavily on tech stocks to achieve returns.

 

2025 Outlook

Hackett suggested that 2025 might not deliver easy double-digit gains solely through investments in S&P 500-listed companies.
Success in this market will require greater discipline and creativity from investors.

 

Indices and Stocks Performance

The S&P 500 index rose by 0.6%, followed by a 1.1% increase in the Nasdaq 100 index,
while the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw little change.

American Airlines Group shares surged due to three analyst upgrades.

Citigroup shares jumped, supported by bullish bets.

Tencent Holdings ADRs declined after being added to the U.S. Chinese Military Blacklist.

 

 

 

 

Other Market Changes

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose by two basis points to 4.62%.

The Bloomberg Dollar Index fell by 0.6%.

The Canadian dollar maintained gains following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s resignation after more than nine years in office.

Bitcoin exceeded the $100,000 mark, while oil prices halted a five-session winning streak.

 

Volatile Market

Lori Calvasina of RBC Capital Markets observed that investor enthusiasm
in the stock market has started to “correct itself.”
as sentiment and positioning indices retreated at the end of the year.
In a note, she stated: “While this decline does not indicate that the recent market slump has ended,
We believe it will be positive news for the stock market in the long term.”

Paul Nolte of Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management expects 2025 to be volatile,
with large price swings presenting opportunities for buyers and sellers.

Despite the S&P 500’s December decline, investors remained net buyers across nine of the 11 sectors,
according to Chris Larkin of E*TRADE, a Morgan Stanley subsidiary.
Larkin added: “While some purchases in utilities and real estate reflect defensive strategies,
The strength in consumer discretion, led by purchases in Tesla and Amazon, shows a continued appetite for risk.”

 

Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts

Investors are also awaiting Friday’s jobs report, which is expected to show reduced hiring,
signaling the end of a moderate yet healthy labor market.

Nevertheless, the data is unlikely to shift Federal Reserve officials’ stance
on slowing the pace of rate cuts amid a strong economy and gradually diminishing inflation.

Lisa Cook, Federal Reserve Governor,
stated on Monday that policymakers would adopt a more cautious approach
to rate cuts due to a robust labor market and persistent inflationary pressures.

According to Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson,
U.S. stocks have become increasingly sensitive to interest rates,
with the 10-year Treasury yield surpassing 4.5%, narrowing market movements.

In a note, they wrote: “For strong economic data to once again
lift stocks even in the face of rising interest rates,
we need more compelling evidence of improving economic activity.”

 

Favorable Long-Term Outlook

Despite the slowdown in rate cuts,
Solita Marcelli of UBS Global Wealth Management sees a favorable long-term market outlook.
Key drivers include lower borrowing costs, resilient U.S. economic activity,
expanding corporate earnings, increased liquidity in AI-related stocks,
and potential growth in capital market activity under Trump’s second administration.

Marcelli predicted the S&P 500 could reach 6,600 points by the end of 2025,
advising non-professional investors to take advantage of near-term
disruptions to add more U.S. stocks to their portfolios using structured strategies.

 

Tech Stocks Drive Wall Street Indices

Tech Leads Markets Amid Global Rate Decision Anticipation

Tech Leads Markets Amid Global Rate Decision Anticipation:
Financial markets are experiencing cautious anticipation as the Federal Reserve’s meeting approaches next week.
U.S. tech stocks continue to deliver exceptional performance while global bond markets decline.
At the same time, U.S. and international economic indicators
provide mixed signals about the economy’s direction and monetary policies.

 

Content

Tech Stocks

The Federal Reserve

Tech Leads Markets

Bond Declines

The U.S. Dollar

Declining Asian Stocks

Oil Prices

Conclusion

 

 

 

 

 

Tech Stocks Continue to Break Records

Major U.S. tech stocks have continued their record-breaking gains,
while Treasury bonds have declined as Wall Street braces for a potential
slowdown in the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting pace ahead of its next meeting.

The Nasdaq 100 index rose for the fourth consecutive week,
supported by strong performances from semiconductor technology companies,
Broadcom leading the way on Friday.
The index, known for its focus on tech stocks, climbed 0.8%,
reaching a new record high for the second time in three days.
In contrast, other U.S. indices struggled, with the S&P 500 falling by 0.6% for the week
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining by 1.8%.

Broadcom’s stock jumped 24% to a record high,
driven by the company’s expectations of a significant increase in demand for its AI chips.
This boosted its market valuation to $1 trillion. Other companies,
including Marvel Technology, Micron Technology, and Nvidia Corp, also saw notable gains.

 

 

The Federal Reserve and the Anticipated Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve’s expected rate cuts will likely support the ongoing market rally,
with the tech sector continuing to lead the gains.
The S&P 500 has risen by 27% since the beginning of the year,
and analysts predict its strong performance will persist compared
to European indices through 2025.
However, the lackluster performance of other stocks
has raised concerns among investors about the growing disparity between the tech sector and the broader market.

 

Tech Leads Markets Amid Global Rate Decision Anticipation

Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, stated,
“The tech sector continues to affirm its dominance in the market,
driven by the momentum of AI and quantum computing.”
However, he noted that the robust performance of tech stocks has overshadowed the rest of the market.

According to data from Bespoke Investment Group,
the number of advancing stocks in the S&P 500 has not outpaced declining stocks in any December session,
marking an unprecedented streak in over 20 years.

 

Bond Declines: A “Hawkish” Rate Cut?

U.S. Treasury bonds continued their downward trend,
with the 10-year bond yield rising to 4.40%.
Ian Lyngen of
BMO stated that the market is preparing for a new move by the Federal Reserve,
likely to be described as a “hawkish” rate cut.
Following mixed data this week,
investors have scaled back their expectations for significant monetary easing,
reflecting uncertainty around the central bank’s decisions.

 

 

 

The U.S. Dollar Outperforms in Currency Markets

The U.S. dollar remained stable against a basket of major currencies
in the currency markets but is on track for its second consecutive week of gains.
Timothy Graf from
State Street Global Markets projected further dollar strength,
noting that the U.S. monetary easing cycle might be shorter than Europe’s.
Meanwhile, the British pound declined due to continued economic contraction in the UK,
while the Euro strengthened following less dovish signals from the European Central Bank.

 

Declining Asian Stocks and Continued Uncertainty in China

Earlier, Asian stock indices fell as a significant economic meeting
in China pledged to stimulate consumption but failed to provide precise details on fiscal stimulus plans.
The global stock index is expected to record its worst weekly performance in nearly a month.

Beata Manthey, Head of European Equity Strategy at Citi Group,
commented on the announcements from China, saying, “The flow of news was disappointing,”
and added, “Markets want numbers, but we didn’t get them.”

Nevertheless, Chinese 10-year government bond yields fell below 1.8%
for the first time in history, authorities pledged to cut interest rates
and reduce banks’ reserve requirement ratios.
Analysts at
Bank of America noted that investors poured $5.6 billion
into Chinese equity funds over the past week,
attributing these inflows to promises of monetary easing by Chinese authorities.

 

Oil Prices Rebound

In the energy market, Oil prices surpassed $71 per barrel.
West Texas Intermediate crude gained 6% this week,
driven by expectations of stricter U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia, further tightening global supply pressures.

 

Conclusion

Financial markets are witnessing dynamic movements across tech stocks, bonds,
and currencies as they await the Federal Reserve’s decisions,
which could shape the trajectory of the markets in the coming period.
The focus remains on how monetary policies will impact
various sectors and how global markets respond to mounting economic challenges.

 

Tech Leads Markets Amid Global Rate Decision Anticipation

Wall Street’s Enthusiasm for Tech Stocks Lifts Market Indices

Wall Street’s Enthusiasm for Tech Stocks Lifts Market Indices:
Stock markets rallied Wednesday as investors flocked to major U.S. tech companies,
breaking a two-day losing streak.
This came after an inflation report boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue cutting interest rates.
Meanwhile, Treasury bonds recorded a decline in value.

 

Contents

Substantial Gains in Tech Stocks

Inflation and the Future of Interest Rates

Market Expectations and Risky Assets

Central Banks and Monetary Policy

 

Substantial Gains in Tech Stocks Drive Market Indices to Record Highs

The Nasdaq 100 index rose by 1.9%, reaching a new record high,
while the S&P 500 climbed by 0.8%, nearing its peak.
Broadcom led the gains following a report indicating a new AI deal with Apple.
Additionally, shares of the “Magnificent Seven” (Meta, Amazon, Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft) surged,
with Tesla, Amazon, and Meta (Facebook’s parent company) hitting all-time highs.

 

Inflation and the Future of Interest Rates

A Bureau of Labor Statistics report showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
increased by 0.3% in November for the fourth consecutive month.
The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs,
rose by the same amount, aligning with forecasts.
According to Skylar Winand, Chief Investment Officer at Regan Capital,
this report gives the Federal Reserve a “green light”
to reduce interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting.

Traders expect a quarter-point rate cut in the upcoming meeting.
There is ongoing debate over the number of potential cuts in the coming year.
However, U.S. government policies could contribute to inflationary pressures.

 

Market Expectations and Risky Assets

Upcoming inflation data, such as producer prices and personal consumption expenditures,
is expected to offer additional insights into the economic trajectory.
Meanwhile, the VIX index, a measure of market volatility, fell below 14 points, signaling near-term market calm.

Jeff Schulz from ClearBridge Investments noted that declining inflation supports
risky assets and boosts stocks during one of the most substantial seasonal periods of the year.

 

 

 

 

Central Banks and Monetary Policy

The U.S. dollar strengthened following reports that Chinese leaders are
considering allowing their currency to weaken, anticipating higher tariffs under a second Trump administration.
The Canadian dollar also rebounded after hitting a four-and-a-half-year low,
as policymakers signaled readiness to slow the pace of monetary easing.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates by 50 basis points, marking its second significant reduction.

Other central banks are also expected to lower interest rates,
with some potentially cutting them faster and more profoundly than the Federal Reserve.
The European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank will likely follow suit on Thursday.
Meanwhile, China’s two-day Central Economic Work Conference is expected to outline next year’s policies,
following signals of stimulus plans from top leaders in Beijing.

Separately, oil prices rose after reports of potential new U.S. sanctions
on the Russian oil trade, which could tighten market supply.

 

Wall Street’s Enthusiasm for Tech Stocks Lifts Market Indices

Technology Stocks Weigh on Wall Street Indices

Technology Stocks Weigh on Wall Street Indices: The S&P 500 index fell by 1% after a four-week streak of gains,
as heavy selling in significant tech stocks dragged Wall Street indices down.
This decline was also driven by increasing geopolitical concerns

and speculation that the Federal Reserve might reduce the scale of interest rate cuts next month.

 

Content

S&P 500 Index

Impact of Geopolitical Tensions

Performance of Tech Stocks

Optimism in the Job Market and Economy

Start of Earnings Season

 

 

 

 

S&P 500 Index and Tech Stocks

The S&P 500 index dropped by 1% after a four-week rally.
Shares of
Alphabet (Google’s parent company) fell by 2.4%
following a court ruling, developers can create competing marketplaces for the Google Play Store.
Additionally,
Brent crude oil prices surged above $80 per barrel amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
U.S. Treasury bonds continued to decline, with the 10-year bond yield rising to 4%.

 

Impact of Geopolitical Tensions

Chris Larkin from E*TRADE, a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley,

noted that Friday’s strong jobs report reduced the likelihood of a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in November.
It also increased the chances that the Federal Reserve might keep rates unchanged if economic data continues to outperform.
Dave Sekera from Morningstar warned that further geopolitical escalation
could encourage a shift toward safe-haven investments in value stocks at the expense of growth stocks,
suggesting that energy sectors may benefit in such scenarios.

 

Performance of Tech Stocks

On Monday, all major sectors in the S&P 500 fell, except for the energy sector.

The “Magnificent Seven” index—comprising Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft—declined by 1.9%.
Amazon’s shares dropped by 3.1% after Wells Fargo downgraded its stock rating.
At the same time,
Apple shares fell by 2.3% following a warning from
a Jefferies analyst said investors’ expectations for the new iPhone are overly optimistic.
In contrast,
Nvidia bucked the trend, with its shares rising.

 

 

 

Optimism in the Job Market and Economy

Despite the stock decline, some strategists are more optimistic about the strength of the job market and the overall economy.
Michael Wilson from
Morgan Stanley raised his outlook on cyclical stocks relative to safer defensive stocks,
citing robust economic data and expectations of more interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

David Kostin from Goldman Sachs also raised his 12-month target for the S&P 500 to 6,300 points.

Meanwhile, BlackRock strategists reaffirmed their confidence in U.S. stocks, highlighting slowing inflation and lower interest rates.

 

 Start of Earnings Season

As the earnings season approaches, traders closely watch corporate performance beyond the macroeconomic picture.
Analysts expect the third-quarter earnings season to be a fruitful opportunity for investors who follow active money management strategies,
according to strategists at
Bank of America.
In a memo on Monday, a team led by Ohsung Kwon stated that
“the options market expects the largest implied move in individual stocks after earnings since 2021,

while volatility in the S&P 500 remains low.”
They added that the upcoming earnings season will provide a prime environment for stock pickers.

Financial sector earnings will kick off on Friday,

with reports from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock.
According to Bloomberg Intelligence, net interest income and capital market revenues

will be critical areas of focus after the Federal Reserve’s rate cut in September.

In the airline sector, Delta Air Lines—the first major U.S. airline to report its results this quarter
—is expected to provide insight into travel demand following reports from
Airbnb

and Booking Holdings, which indicated a decline in holiday spending.

 

 

Technology Stocks Weigh on Wall Street Indices

Tech Stocks Propel Wall Street Ahead

Tech Stocks Propel Wall Street Ahead of Crucial Central Bank Decisions Week

Tech giants’ stocks have led to a rise in Wall Street indices on the eve of an important week filled with announcements from central banks.

 

Topic

Interest Rate Future

Wall Street Gains

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Rate Future

Markets are gearing up to receive more guidance regarding the Federal Reserve’s plans on interest rates.
At the beginning of the trading week, major technology companies helped push Wall Street indices higher,
ahead of a series of anticipated decisions from central banks across the United States, Britain, and Japan.
After a recent decline, stock prices have improved, with market leaders outperforming.
Shares of Alphabet Inc soared following reports from Bloomberg News that
Apple is discussing the incorporation of Google’s AI engine, Gemini, into iPhone devices.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang introduced new chips aimed at expanding the company’s dominance in the artificial intelligence sector.
Anthony Saglimbeni from Ameriprise stressed the importance of not overlooking the areas that drive most of the companies’ profits,
noting the stark difference in profit growth between major tech companies and other companies that led the tech sector at the turn of the century.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wall Street Gains

Wall Street is also preparing for more indications about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate plans,
in a week witnessing a significant number of central bank decisions that affect nearly half of the global economy.
This week is set to be the most active in 2024 so far, with decisions impacting the borrowing costs for six of the world’s most traded currencies.
The three-day decline of the S&P 500 index ended, and the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1%, while the index of the “Magnificent Seven” tech companies doubled.
The two-year U.S. bond yields remained close to their highest levels in 2024, amid ongoing erosion of expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut.

 

Some changes and surprises are expected in the central banks’ meetings, potentially leading to future market volatilities.
Before the Federal Reserve’s decision, Japan is preparing for a historic moment by ending its negative interest rate policy,
the last country globally to implement this policy, leading to an increase in bets on the yen in futures contracts to the highest level since 2007.

 

Investors and analysts closely monitor the movements of the Federal Reserve and other central banks,
anticipating their impact on the stock and bond markets and preparing for potential volatilities based on these decisions
and expectations related to inflation and interest rates.

 

 

 

 

 

Tech Stocks Propel Wall Street Ahead of Crucial Central Bank Decisions Week