Japanese Stocks Experience Volatility Amid Rising Bond Yields

Japanese Stocks Experience Volatility Amid Rising Bond Yields and U.S. Trade Policy Concerns:
Japanese stocks opened the week with a volatile performance,
impacted by rising bond yields and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy.
However, gains in semiconductor stocks provided some support to market indices.

 

Content:

Consumer Inflation in China

TikTok Sale Deal

Japanese Stocks

 

 

 

 

 

China’s Consumer Inflation Sees Unexpected Decline for the First Time in 13 Months

China’s consumer inflation fell below zero in February for the first time in 13 months,
reflecting seasonal factors and reinforcing ongoing deflationary pressures in the world’s second-largest economy.

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released on Sunday,
the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.7% year-on-year, following a 0.5% increase in the previous month.
This reading was worse than analysts’ expectations of a 0.4% decline.

Additionally, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices,
fell by 0.1%, marking its first decline since 2021 and only the second drop in more than 15 years.
Meanwhile, factory prices continued to shrink for the 29th consecutive month.

 

Trump: TikTok Sale Deal in the U.S. Nearing Completion with Four Potential Buyers

On Sunday, former U.S. President Donald Trump revealed that negotiations
are ongoing with four different buyers to acquire TikTok’s U.S. operations, indicating that the deal could be finalized soon.

Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump stated:
“We are dealing with four different groups, and there is a lot of interest in the deal.”

However, he did not disclose the names of the competing companies
or specify which offer he favored, simply noting:
“They are all good.”

Last week, Trump expressed openness to extending the April 5 deadline
if necessary but reaffirmed that completing the deal next month remains viable.

A bipartisan law previously set January 19 as the deadline for Chinese company
ByteDance will sell TikTok’s U.S. operations, temporarily suspending the app’s services in the country.
However, after taking office, Trump signed an executive order extending the deadline by 75 days.

 

 

 

 

 

Japanese Stocks Experience Volatility Amid Rising Bond Yields and U.S. Trade Policy Concerns

Japanese stocks started the week with a volatile performance,
influenced by rising bond yields and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies.
However, gains in semiconductor stocks helped support some market indices.

The Nikkei index closed 0.38% higher at 37,028 points after dropping to 36,705 points,
its lowest level since September 18.
Meanwhile, the Topix index ended Monday’s session 0.29% lower at 2,700 points,
although it recovered some of its intraday losses.

Chip manufacturing stocks recorded substantial gains,
Advantest shares rose 3.7%, and Lasertec surged 10%,
making it one of the top gainers in the Nikkei index.
Additionally, SMC Corp, a company specializing in industrial automation systems, climbed 6.8%.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar weakened against the Japanese yen by 0.24% in the currency market,
reaching 147.68 yen.
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose six basis points
in the bond market to 1.587%, marking its highest level in over 16 years,
following weak demand in a five-year bond auction.

 

Japanese Stocks Experience Volatility Amid Rising Bond Yields

Japanese Stocks Steady Ahead of Monetary Policy Decisions

Japanese Stocks Steady Ahead of Monetary Policy Decisions: The main Japanese stock index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange ended
the week’s first session on Monday was relatively stable,
as investors awaited the Bank of Japan’s upcoming monetary policy decision later this week.
This comes after the anticipated monetary policy decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which was expected a day earlier.

 

Content
The European Central Bank

Japanese Stocks

The UK Manufacturing Sector

 

 

 

 

Lagarde: ECB Ready for Further Rate Cuts as Inflation Cools

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that the bank
will continue reducing borrowing costs as inflation slows and nears the 2% target.

Lagarde emphasized that the inflation target is now within reach,
noting that the prolonged period of monetary tightening has improved the accuracy of economic forecasts.
This allows policymakers to focus on managing future risks without being overly concerned about previous inflation shocks.

In a speech delivered on Monday, reported by Bloomberg,
Lagarde highlighted signs of easing service price inflation in the coming months.
She also mentioned that the ECB may continue to lower interest rates if incoming data aligns with policymakers’ forecasts.

Lagarde further added that while domestic inflation in the eurozone remains high,
service price inflation has recently decelerated.


Japanese Stocks Stabilize Amid Anticipation of Monetary Policy Decisions

The main Japanese stock index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange closed Monday’s session
on a stable note as investors awaited the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) upcoming monetary policy decision later this week.
This decision follows the anticipated monetary policy announcement by the U.S. Federal Reserve, scheduled a day earlier.

Meanwhile, data released earlier today revealed positive performance in Japan’s core machinery orders for October,
which exceeded expectations. This strengthens the outlook for increased capital expenditure in the coming months.
Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) also indicated improvements in the manufacturing and services sectors in December.

Regarding trading, the Nikkei 225 index slightly declined by 0.03%, losing 12.95 points
to close at 39,457.27.
The broader Topix index recorded a more significant decline of 0.3%, shedding 8.23 points to end the session at 2,738.33.

 

 

 

UK Manufacturing Sector Contracts While Services Sector Expands in December

Data released by IHS Markit, part of S&P Global,
on Monday morning showed a contraction in the UK manufacturing sector in December.
The preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector came in at 47.3,
indicating a decline in activity.
This reading was below market expectations of 48.4 and lower than November’s figure of 48.0.

On the other hand, the UK services sector showed positive growth,
with the PMI for the services sector rising to 51.4.
This figure exceeded market expectations of 50.9 and exceeded November’s reading of 50.8.

 

Japanese Stocks Steady Ahead of Monetary Policy Decisions

Japanese Stocks Rise as Yen Weakens and Hong Kong Faces Tensions

Japanese Stocks Rise as Yen Weakens and Hong Kong Faces Tensions

Japanese stocks saw a significant rise following a decline in speculation about interest rate hikes,
which contributed to weakening the Japanese yen.
This increase coincided with the third consecutive day of rising oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

 

Topic
Yen
Economic Stimulus Strategy
Oil Price Movements
U.S. Employment Data and Its Impact
Federal Reserve Strategy

 

 

 

 

 

Yen 

The yen dropped to its lowest level in over a month against the dollar,
falling by 2% on Wednesday in its worst daily performance in two years.
This decline followed comments by former Japanese economy minister Shigeru Ishiba,
who stated that the economy is not ready for another interest rate hike.
Bank of Japan official Asahi Noguchi is expected to provide further details in a speech on Thursday,
which may clarify the outlook for investors.

 

Meanwhile, Hong Kong stocks opened lower after gains from the previous day,
while Australian and U.S. markets saw little change.
Markets in mainland China and South Korea remained closed during this period.

 

 

 

 

Economic Stimulus Strategy 

David Chao, a global market strategist at Invesco, confirmed that there are more financial stimulus measures on the way that will continue to support markets. He added that foreign investors, who had been cautious, are now considering entering the market as these stimulus efforts persist.

In the United States, the release of strong employment data has reduced expectations for significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Market forecasts for rate cuts in the November meeting have fallen to 33 basis points, down from 44 basis points just last week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil Price Movements 

Oil prices rose in Asian markets following escalating tensions between Iran and Israel. In this context, U.S. President Joe Biden urged Israel to refrain from targeting Iranian nuclear facilities.

Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds increased slightly, reaching 3.78%, amid Middle Eastern tensions. Australian and New Zealand bond yields also saw rises in Asian trading.

 

 

U.S. Employment Data and Its Impact

Data released on Wednesday showed that U.S. companies added more jobs than expected last month, indicating resilience in the labor market despite other indicators suggesting a slowdown. All eyes are now on the non-farm payroll report due on Friday, which will provide a crucial read on the state of the U.S. labor market and the overall economy.

Chris Larkin of E*Trade, a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley, noted that the surprising employment data boosted market optimism regarding the labor market. He added that Friday’s jobs report would have a direct impact on short-term market sentiment.

 

 

Federal Reserve Strategy

Despite the strength in the labor market, some experts, such as Megan Swiber from Bank of America, believe that a half-percentage-point rate cut remains on the table. Others, like Marc Rowan from Apollo Global Management, warn that continued easing of the Federal Reserve’s policies could lead to an overstimulation of the economy.

Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin stated that it is still too early for the central bank to declare victory over inflation, expressing concerns about ongoing uncertainties related to employment and prices.

 

 

 

Japanese Stocks Rise as Yen Weakens and Hong Kong Faces Tensions