The Intensifying Global Stock Decline After Weak U.S. Jobs Report

The Intensifying Global Stock Decline After Weak U.S. Jobs Report: The global markets witnessed a wave of volatility and sharp declines after the release of the U.S. jobs report,
which was weaker than expected. This report raised concerns that the Federal Reserve might be too slow in reducing interest rates, causing panic and mass stock selling
.

 

Contents

Calls for Quick Action to Ease Monetary Policy

Decline in Technology Stocks

Impact of the Report on U.S. Stocks

Major Tech Stocks Decline

Speculations on Rate Cuts

Movements in Technology Stocks

Expectations of Rate Cuts

Increasing Global Tensions

Markets Preparing for Fed Moves

Investor Advice

 

 

 

Calls for Quick Action to Ease Monetary Policy

Many voices called for swift action to ease monetary policy amid speculations of a 50 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.
The yield on the two-year Treasury bond fell to its lowest level in 14 months,
while Japan’s Topix index had its worst session since 2016.

 

Decline in Technology Stocks

Amazon’s stock dropped by 8% due to concerns about weak demand for artificial intelligence,
while Intel’s losses exceeded 22%.
The global stock sell-off deepened with significant declines in bond yields,
reflecting investors’ fears that the Federal Reserve was too slow to cut interest rates.

 

Impact of the Report on U.S. Stocks

U.S. stocks fell in early trading hours after data showed a more-than-expected slowdown in U.S. employment in July.
The unemployment rate rose to its highest level in nearly three years, raising concerns that the labor market is slowing faster than other data suggests.

 

Major Tech Stocks Decline

The decline in significant tech stocks worsened as S&P 500 futures fell by 1.7%,
and Japan’s Topix index had its worst day since 2016.
The yield on the two-year Treasury bond fell to its lowest level in 14 months, increasing investors’ fears.

 

 

 

 

Speculations on Rate Cuts

Daniela Hathorn, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, said, “The data has started to show worrying signs,
which brings the consequences back to the Federal Reserve.” She added that investors fear the Fed might have waited too long to take action.

 

Movements in Technology Stocks

Amazon.com’s stock fell by 8.7% in pre-market trading due to concerns about rising costs to meet the demand for AI services.
Intel’s stock dropped by more than 22% after providing bleak growth forecasts and planned to lay off 15,000 employees.
Snap Inc.’s stock fell by 17% as revenue came in below estimates.

 

Expectations of Rate Cuts

Gary Dugan, CEO of Global CIO Office, said, “In the coming days,
there might even be a discussion about whether the Fed will need to cut rates by 50 basis points
at the next meeting to keep up with the economy’s loss of momentum.”

 

Increasing Global Tensions

Other factors that impacted the markets include rising tensions in the Middle East
after the assassination of the political bureau chief of Hamas in Tehran,
investors’ concerns about the slow Chinese economy and the fading previous hype about AI.

 

Markets Preparing for Fed Moves

Markets now anticipate that the Federal Reserve will make three consecutive quarter-point rate cuts in September,
November and December.
These developments have pushed the volatility index (VIX) to its highest closing level in nine months.

 

Investor Advice

Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management,
advised investors to prepare for renewed volatility but to avoid overreacting to short-term changes in market sentiment.

The Intensifying Global Stock Decline After Weak U.S. Jobs Report

Oil rises gold is volatile and Global stock markets are unstable

Oil rises gold is volatile and Global stock markets are unstable

Oil rises gold is volatile and Global stock markets are unstable:

The Chinese Evergrande crisis returned to the spotlight once again,
as it did not sell the major real estate unit that would have solved a large problem of its bad debts. 

 

Evest follows all this in the following report.

Topics:

Global stock markets are unstable

US indices are mixed

China’s Evergrande negatively affects markets in Asia

Oil turns into decline and Brent sticks to the $85 level

Gold fluctuates as Bitcoin had a key role

Today’s agenda

 

Global stock markets are unstable

The overall morale of the market was supported by the publication of the Fed’s “Big Book”:

In the quarterly regional economic review,
the regulator noted that the US economy grew in September and early October at “modest or moderate” rates,
despite increasing inflationary pressure,

and forecasts “remained generally positive” in most regions of the country.

However, conservative sentiment prevailed on Thursday morning in world markets again.

US and European index futures are declining moderately,
as are major Asian stock markets,
resulting in the recovery of IBM and Tesla financial statements’ forecasts that did not satisfy investors,

as well as negative news about China’s Evergrande (the company was unable to sell one of its departments),
compounding its financial position.

Stock markets on Thursday are likely to spend most of the day in consolidation, 
and the mood will be determined at the end of the day by a set of US statistics that could correct assessments of the US consumer’s status.

The US indices are mixed

With strong corporate reporting, the Dow Jones stock index rose (+ 0.4%) .

and the Standard & Poor’s 500 (+ 0.4%), and the Nasdaq fell (-1.05%) in the United States on Wednesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Index rose by 152.03 points (0.43%) to 35609.34.

Standard & Poor’s 500 rose by 16.56 points (0.37%) to 4536.19 points.

The Nasdaq Composite Index declined by 7.41 points (0.05%) to 15121.68.

US corporate reports show that rising raw materials prices and labor shortages have no serious impact on corporate profits.

The Big Book regional economic survey,
published by the Federal Reserve System (FRS) on Wednesday,
showed that the US economic activity in August-September grew at a moderate (modest) to moderate (moderate) rate. 

In the meantime, the review indicates problems in supply chains,
as well as labor shortages caused by COVID- 19,
limited economic growth and contributed to increased inflation.

US treasury yield growth was the limiting factor for the US stock market on Wednesday:

The interest rate on the US 10-year Treasury bond rose during trading to 1.673%,
the maximum since May.

 

China’s Evergrande negatively affects markets in Asia

A decline in indices prevails in Asia, with Japan’s Nikkei declining by 1.9%,
China’s Shanghai Composite rising by 0.2%,
and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declining by 0.7%.

Evergrande Group, the debt-laden Chinese property developer,
declined by more than 11% after it was reported that the company had abandoned plans to sell a controlling stake in Evergrande Venture Services Group for $2.6 billion.

Oil turns into decline and Brent sticks to the $85 level

Prices fall Thursday morning after rising the day before.

Brent crude futures’ cost for December was $85.17 per barrel (0.8٪ and + 0.9٪ on Wednesday),

and West Texas Intermediate crude for December was $83.01 per barrel -0.5٪ and + 1.2٪ the previous day).

Prices during the previous trading were supported by fuel reserves data in the United States of America.

 

According to the United States Department of Energy

According to the United States Department of Energy,
the country’s oil reserves last week declined by 431 thousand barrels (2 million barrels were expected to rise),
gasoline inventory declined by 5.37 million barrels (0.95-2.2 million were expected to decline),
and distillate reserves declined by 3.91 million barrels (1.15-2.4 million were expected to decline).

In addition, inventories at the terminal in Cushing,
Oklahoma, where NYMEX-traded oil is stored,
has fallen by 2.32 million barrels over the past week.

Refinery use fell to 84.7% from 86.7% the previous week.

The day before, data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) indicated an increase in US oil inventories
by 3.3 million barrels for the week ending October 15.

API receives information from refinery operators, storage tanks, and pipelines on a voluntary basis.

 

 

Gold fluctuates as Bitcoin had a key role

Gold trades around the region from $1760 an ounce to $1790 an ounce.

The reason is that financial experts on Wall Street focused on cryptocurrency assets, Bitcoin. 

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the United States Department of Treasury give the green light to Bitcoin exchange
(which means buy/sell) and pay the money injected into a Bitcoin ETF. 

The US dollar index fell by 0.8 points (1.02%) because the Fed had not issued any significant indication
that quantitative easing would slow down soon and that the interest rate would rise.

There will be two more speeches from the Fed Chairman during this week that will affect the US economy.

Today’s-agenda

The Gfk Consumer Climate Index today, Thursday, which is expected to fall to minus 1.6 points will be published in Germany  

In the United States, there will be traditional weekly data on initial unemployment benefit claims. 

The Federal Reserve’s Industrial Activity will release Index in Philadelphia,
which could have fallen to 24.5 points in October from 30.7 points in September,
After that, there will be sales data on the secondary domestic market in the United States,
as well as the index of leading economic indicators, which could have risen by 0.4% in September.